Wall Street kicked off the week with a jolt — and not the good kind. Tech stocks were hammered, the S&P 500 slipped, and investors scrambled for safety after former President Donald Trump threatened sweeping tariffs on all U.S. trading partners.
Markets Stumble as Tariff Jitters Spread
The Nasdaq Composite plunged over 2% early Monday, wiping out months of gains and marking its lowest level since last fall. By midday, it clawed back some losses but was still down 1.2%, or roughly 211 points.
The broader S&P 500 opened with a steep drop, falling 60 points before slightly rebounding to a 0.4% loss. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, after dipping early, bounced back into positive territory — but investors weren’t celebrating.
“Markets aren’t reacting to tariffs so much as they’re reacting to confusion,” said David Bahnsen, chief investment officer at the $7.1 billion Bahnsen Group. “This administration hasn’t offered a clear strategy. It’s hard to invest with a blindfold on.”
Trump Talks Tough — Again
Speaking aboard Air Force One Sunday night, Trump shocked investors by signaling he’s planning tariffs on every country.
“You’d start with all countries,” he said, brushing aside earlier reports that his team was considering a narrower list. “We’ll be more generous than they’ve been to us — but it’s time to even the score.”
That statement comes ahead of April 2, dubbed “Liberation Day” by Trump supporters, when he’s expected to formally unveil his tariff plan.
Recession Alarms Ring Louder
Goldman Sachs didn’t wait. The investment giant raised its odds of a recession within the next 12 months to 35%, up from 20%, citing “deteriorating trade outlook and softening consumer sentiment.”
Goldman also slashed its 2025 GDP forecast to just 1% growth and now expects three rate cuts this year. Its updated inflation prediction? A year-end rate of 3.5% — driven by persistent price pressures and Trump’s proposed tariffs.
JPMorgan went further, assigning a 40% chance of a recession by early 2026.
Tech Sector Takes the Biggest Hit
The tech-heavy Nasdaq bore the brunt. Nvidia, a bellwether for AI innovation, sank more than 5%. Tesla slid by the same margin. The electric carmaker, once flying high at $430 per share after the 2024 election, traded Monday morning at just $246 — down over 40% from its peak.
Meta and Amazon were also caught in the downdraft, each dropping more than 3%.
“These are global companies that depend on complex supply chains,” said Alexis Wilkins, a senior economist at Brookings. “When you threaten tariffs across the board, you’re essentially lighting that entire system on fire.”
Gold Surges as Investors Seek Shelter
Uncertainty sent investors fleeing into safer territory. Gold surged above $3,100 per ounce for the first time ever, trading near $3,147 as of mid-morning.
That’s not just a symbolic milestone — it’s a loud signal of fading confidence in both policy direction and economic stability.
A Climate of Economic Anxiety
Behind the market anxiety is a broader fear: that the U.S. may be headed toward a self-inflicted slowdown.
Last week marked the fifth weekly decline out of six for the Nasdaq and S&P 500. Adding to the gloom, the latest inflation data showed core PCE — the Fed’s preferred measure — came in hotter than expected.
“The White House is selling this as a patriotic move, but the economics don’t lie,” said Dr. Phillip Magness of the Independent Institute. “Tariffs are taxes, and those taxes are largely paid by Americans — not foreign governments.”
Magness added, “Markets can handle bad news better than they can handle mixed signals. Right now, they’re getting both.”
Jobs Data in Focus
Investors now await key labor market data later this week — including Friday’s March jobs report — hoping it can offer clarity amid the chaos.
But until Trump’s trade intentions are clearly spelled out, one thing is certain: Wall Street will remain on edge.
“This isn’t about policy anymore,” said Wilkins. “It’s about credibility — and right now, investors are losing faith.”
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No big deal… we expected some sluggishness for a while…